| Sports betting experts often can make a killing by | | | | haven't won or lost more than 2 games in a row ATS. |
| being able to spot an upset. Why do they make | | | | What's all this add up to? Atlanta is vulnerable for a let |
| money from an upset? Because they often play the | | | | down, and Detroit is just bad enough to lull Atlanta into |
| "money line" on underdogs. This means that they may | | | | a sense of complacency. Look for the Lions to stay in |
| make $200-$600 for every $100 they bet on the | | | | this game, 23-21. |
| underdog. | | | | So what was the final score? Detroit trounced Atlanta, |
| Here's an example of my analysis of two NFL football | | | | 30-14. |
| games where I was able to spot an upset that was | | | | Minnesota at San Francisco +4 1/2 |
| about to take place. Notice the thought process that | | | | This game is very similar to the Atlanta/Detroit game. |
| went into analyzing these games, and how anybody | | | | Minnesota has been historically inconsistent, and SF is |
| interested in sports betting could have made money | | | | playing the role of the home dog. Minnesota most |
| from these games: | | | | recently got crushed by New England on Monday |
| Atlanta at Detroit +5 | | | | night, and they've even lost to the hapless Bills earlier in |
| I know what you're thinking… how in the world | | | | the year, 17-12. Minnesota also has the reputation of |
| can you think Detroit can hang with Atlanta? Simple. | | | | being strong at home and poor on the road. Is that rep |
| Detroit by default has had to pass the ball a lot this | | | | deserved? |
| season, averaging over 250 yards a game, and | | | | Probably. Minnesota is much stronger at home, going |
| Atlanta's pass defense is lousy. This fact alone is | | | | 13-7 SU and 12-8 ATS while only playing .500 ball on |
| enough to make me think that Detroit will be able to | | | | the road during the same period. In other words, the |
| keep this game close, if not win outright. | | | | Vikings look like playoff contenders whenever they |
| More importantly, Atlanta has just come off two very | | | | play at home, but turn into an average team on the |
| emotionally draining wins against Pittsburgh and | | | | road. |
| Cincinnati. Don't underestimate the "let down" factor in | | | | Meanwhile, SF has been bad this year, but they've still |
| this game. Plus, Detroint has played very tough at | | | | been able to pull out two games straight up at home, |
| home this season, beating Buffalo when the Bills came | | | | beating Oakland and the Rams. |
| into town favored, and only losing to the defending | | | | But the real interesting stat relating to this game is that |
| NFC Champion Seahawks 9-6. | | | | Minnesota has traditionally played very poorly against |
| Also, don't forget that in Atlanta's last road game | | | | the NFC West teams, going only 7-13 ATS. I look for |
| before they beat the Bengals they laid an egg in New | | | | Minnesota to be in a battle down the the final seconds |
| Orleans, losing 21-3 to the Saints. If there's one thing | | | | of this game, with SF maybe even coming out on top, |
| that's characterized Atlanta in the last few years (say | | | | 30-27. |
| 30 maybe?) is that they're inconsistent. Want numbers | | | | And what do you think the final score in this game |
| to back that up? In their last twenty games, Atlanta | | | | was? How about this: San Francisco won outright, just |
| has not won or lost more than two games in a row | | | | as I predicted, 9-3. |
| ATS. And it doesn't matter whether Atlanta is playing | | | | How much money do you think sports betting pros |
| at home or away. In their last 20 road games, they | | | | made on these games? |